9/15/2007

Round 4 Pairings - Predictions

More fighting chess today despite the 3 draws. The shortest game actually ended on a repitition which is a valid part of chess in my opinion because both sides believe their best possible move is the repeating pattern. Moro beat Svidler, but in my amateur opinion he could have fought on a bit more. He did have substantial pressure against the white monarch. I gather that Svidler thought Rg1 solidified enough that the passer would overwhelm him.

Anand vs. Kramnik was fought to a truly drawn position, but I thought Kramnik was going to win until 59. ... Rc1. Can't he simply keep moving the King over till he gaurds the a-pawn and win?


Call me a dumbass, but doesn't 59. ... Kc2 Win here?

Leko vs. Gelfand was a mammoth 100 mover. Much more spirited chess than the opening round. Good show.

Neither of my predicted winners came through. So far my prediction of Aronian and Svidler being top half of the final standings doesn't seem to be lining up. Still I think it will finish

Anand
Aronian
Kramnik
Svidler

But I'm impressed with the performance of all the players so far, especially Moro with his win today.
Round 4 Pairings
Peter Svidler
vs. Boris Gelfand
Levon Aronian
vs. Peter Leko
Vladimir Kramnik
vs. Alexander Grischuk
Alexander Morozevich
vs. Viswanathan Anand

Qxh7 Predicted Round 4 Winners
Anand
Kramnik

Actual Winners
Aronian


http://partidas.chessmexico.com/

7 comments:

Pale Morning Dun - Errant Knight de la Maza said...

Krammy is gonna eat Grischuk for breakfast....or at least a nice afternoon snack.

Jeff said...

I think so too PMD. I think Grischuk and Gelfand are the spots Kramnik and Anand will really push for full points. Although I have been surprised at the resistance Gelfand has been putting up.

wayward son said...

"but doesn't 59. ... Kc2 Win here?"

White just continually checks with the rook. The king has no place to hide.

wayward son said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
wayward son said...

When I checked on the games about 20 minutes ago, it looked as though Anand was heading a win. He has an extra pawn, a passed pawn on the sixth rank, more active rooks, and a huge space advantage.

That will make two wins for Anand with Black. But I think he will have to switch to d4 with white as everyone keeps on playing the petroff against him.

Jeff said...

If the rook continues to give check then the King can chse the rook up the board (eventually landing on b6). If the rook ever moves from the a-file without giving check then the black rook checks the king and gains the tempo to queen.

I don't understand Vishy's issue with the Petroff. He has been "losing" those games and just surviving, but white actually wins 3 of 4 GM level games in the Petroff that don't end in draws.

Anonymous said...

"If the rook continues to give check then the King can chse the rook up the board (eventually landing on b6). If the rook ever moves from the a-file without giving check then the black rook checks the king and gains the tempo to queen."

Yeah, but if the King marches up the board once it hits the fifth rank then the rook goes to a7, if Kb6, then Ra4. The king can't get to the rook and it can't get over to take Black's Queenside pawns because again the Rook will just check it and there is no cover.

As for Anand and the Petroff, I can't really say. He actually has one of the best records against the Petroff with White (about 70%) and out of the 6 games I can find where Kramik has ever lost with the Petroff - 4 of those games were to Anand.